India will surpass China in terms of population this year

Analysts of the International Security Program of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) published the report “Seven Critical Technologies for Winning the Next War.”

It is about specific technologies and innovations that are most likely to significantly affect the success of the United States and its allies “across the spectrum of conflicts over the next decade.”

The authors of the study carried out an in-depth analysis of dozens of important new technologies, as well as interviewed experts from government, industry and the field of venture capital.

As a result, 7 technologies were singled out, which analysts consider not only the most effective and important for further development and application, but also reliable for investments:

• bioengineering technologies
• protected backup communication networks
• quantum technologies
• space-based sensors
• maximally reduced in size durable batteries
• robotics
• Artificial Intelligence

The authors call the first three commercial developments not fast enough in terms of their development or not sufficiently adapted to the needs of the US government. Therefore, the government is advised to pay special attention to the acceleration of these projects.

Instead, the last four are considered a reliable field for investment.

At the same time, the US government should invest resources in the training of a “technically savvy” workforce and, in particular, combat forces over the next 10 years, according to the authors of the analytical report.

They also encourage the government to prioritize these 7 areas to promote innovation in order to gain an edge in global competition.

“The world is accelerating,” the report says. And its authors emphasize that technological competition today is ahead of economic, medical, intelligence, competition in creating hybrid conflicts and even the development of military power.

Whoever demonstrates a technological advantage will have an advantage in global influence and across the spectrum of conflict, the report emphasized.

The authors of the report see the cooperation of the US government with the industry, and not the demands on it, as absolutely critical for success.

What will war look like in 2030

“War in the future,” the report says, “can either be a slow simmer or an intense explosion.”

As for “slow decay”, this technique is aimed at “victory without a shot”. It’s about intelligence, competitive behavior, and hybrid warfare that slowly changes the mindset of the adversary. He simply loses the will to fight as a result of gradual subversive actions.

An example is China’s attempt to “take Taiwan not by force, but by slow coercion.” “China can undermine Taiwan’s democratic institutions, support politicians who advocate reunification, and drive a wedge between Taiwan and the US,” the authors warn.

And “intense explosion” can be the opposite approach. This form of warfare will involve the ability to strike accurately, dominate communications, and attempt to “decapitate” the enemy.

Analysts expect the wars to be short, with a blitz offensive to deliver the main blow before allies can mobilize to help.

The critical capabilities the United States will need to compete militarily are superior sensing capabilities, the ability to cut through more noise than ever before in search of a signal, rapid decision-making, and reliable communication paths from strategic decisions to combat tactics.

In addition, the United States must be able to keep forces geographically dispersed but closely coordinated, the authors of the report insist.

Intelligence: artificial intelligence and the example of the Chinese “blanket” of surveillance that covers cities

The face of intelligence is changing, analysts write. And in a certain sense, this is a “face” in the literal sense: facial recognition technology with the help of artificial intelligence will be actively combined with traditional “human resources” operations of classic intelligence.

Already today in China, cities are covered with “blankets” of video surveillance and a system of storing the filmed material for years is used. This makes it possible to trace the movement of suspects.

Accordingly, the world will also need capacities for sorting a huge mass of information, its processing and machine marking of elements that are most interesting for human verification.

Currently, America’s space capabilities, high-precision weapons and robots related to artificial intelligence, etc., make the Russians and Chinese worry that all this gives the United States a strategic advantage, the report quotes experts who were interviewed during the preparation of the report.

A virtual billion: artificial intelligence, electric cars, education

By the way, the interviewed experts were offered to spend a “virtual billion dollars”. According to the answers, scientists, the military, and government officials invested primarily in the development of artificial intelligence (this option received the most votes), communications, the use of quantum sensing in space, the establishment of supply chains, the creation of a nationwide infrastructure of electric vehicles, the strengthening of Taiwan’s defense, and education.

In addition, at the end of the report is presented technologies that are “almost on the list”: financial technologies (electronic payment systems and digital assets), smart manufacturing, green technologies to reduce the environmental impact of military equipment, automated thinking (using methods of mathematics and logic to reduce thousands of hours of direct calculations), microelectronics and nanomanufacturing, and modeling digital way of existing objects in the world, which will help in the future to create their cheaper analogue in the real world.

As reported by Voice of America, Dutch intelligence said in an annual report that China is sending students and scientists to the country to steal innovative technologies and secrets.