The Russian Federation will be able to finance the war in Ukraine for at least another year – leaked Pentagon documents
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Russia will be able to finance the war against Ukraine for at least another year, despite the sanctions.
Source: The Washington Post with reference to US intelligence documents released in Discord
Details: The publication reports that it is about documents of the “highest level of secrecy” under the label “top secret”. According to them, American intelligence believes that Russia will be able to finance the war in Ukraine for at least another year, even under the heavy burden of sanctions.
While some Russian “economic elites” may disagree with Russia’s actions in Ukraine, they are unlikely to stop supporting Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to an assessment made in early March.
Verbatim intelligence: “Moscow is relying on increased corporate taxes, its sovereign wealth fund, increased imports and business adaptability to help ease economic pressures.”
More details: WP emphasizes that the documents do not take into account the impact of recently introduced sanctions and the long-term damage associated with the ceiling of oil prices in Europe. The intelligence assessment does not consider other factors that could affect Russia’s ability to fight, such as munitions costs and the need to recruit or draft new soldiers.
The US Treasury declined to comment on the documents in question. The White House did not respond to questions about them.
In addition, the publication writes that the leak of the documents helped to understand how much the sanctions scared those in Russia at whom they were directed.
Verbatim WP: “Although the documents do not provide a detailed discussion of their sources, they are coded to indicate that the data was obtained from intercepted communications. This suggests that the United States has gained access to channels where Russian officials are privately discussing how to limit the impact of sanctions “.
Even more details: In particular, US intelligence revealed that Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov drafted a letter to Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin in early March asking him to support contingency plans to avoid a “potentially ignominious collapse” of Russian state institutions such as the International Investment Bank and the Bank of Economic Cooperation, as well as the Eurasian Investment Bank.
According to another document, US intelligence revealed that Russian FSB officials were “concerned” about the insufficient amount of foreign currency stored in Russian banks.
Verbatim WP: “The previously undisclosed documents provide a rare insight into Washington’s understanding of the effectiveness of its own economic measures, as well as the response they have received in Russia, where US intelligence officials say senior oligarchs, departments and staff are in dire straits. and adapt to them.”
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